Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.400 | $12.01 | +$7.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.054 | $12 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 54.05 |
| $0.037 |
| $3.05 |
| +$1.05 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1.97 | +$0.97 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9.68 | $0.310 | $1.4 | -$1.6 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 18.76 | $0.266 | $0.62 | -$4.38 |
 Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 33.56 | $0.149 | $0.18 | -$4.82 |
 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.009 | $0.17 | -$2.83 |
| sell |
| 166.66 |
| $0.005 |
| $0.83 |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No | buy | 12.38 | $0.390 | $4.83 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?Yes | buy | 4.82 | $0.450 | $2.17 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.037 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 33.56 | $0.149 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 18.76 | $0.266 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 6.18 | $0.220 | $1.36 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Germany win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 19.48 | $0.051 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.009 | $3 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?Yes | sell | 7.77 | $0.192 | $1.49 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.78 | $0.180 | $1.4 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 9.86 | $0.430 | $4.24 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.009 | $1.08 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.007 | $1.05 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will FDP be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 32.57 | $0.607 | $19.76 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 59.17 | $0.060 | $3.55 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 7.4 | $0.480 | $3.55 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | sell | 12.55 | $0.955 | $11.99 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 37.65 | $0.051 | $1.92 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.800 | $1.92 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 12.55 | $0.470 | $5.9 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.033 | $2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?No | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?No | buy | 6.54 | $0.240 | $1.57 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?Yes | sell | 2.07 | $0.760 | $1.57 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.780 | $1.62 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4Yes | buy | 23.17 | $0.086 | $2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Nov 3, 2024 |