Latest trade
Jun 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:12 AM UTC.
Analytics
Circular-Sausage is down $71.88 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 27 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:12 AM UTC.
$1.53 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 43 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Nov 3, 2024 UTC to Jun 6, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.400 | $12.29 | +$7.29 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.054 | $12 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-09 10:24 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 07:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 07:12 UTC
polymarket positions
29 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-09 10:24 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $19.11 and losing ones cost $47.19 across 27 settled positions. 37% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.44 on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $19.76 on “Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 6 Jun 2026. It has traded 53 markets. Its open positions are worth $20.31 across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 54.05 |
| $0.037 |
| $2.73 |
| +$0.73 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.024 | $1.67 | -$0.33 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9.68 | $0.310 | $1.61 | -$1.39 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1.56 | +$0.56 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 18.76 | $0.266 | $0.27 | -$4.73 |
 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.009 | $0.17 | -$2.83 |
 Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 33.56 | $0.149 | $0.02 | -$4.98 |
| sell |
| 166.66 |
| $0.005 |
| $0.83 |
| Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No | buy | 12.38 | $0.390 | $4.83 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?Yes | buy | 4.82 | $0.450 | $2.17 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.037 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 33.56 | $0.149 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 18.76 | $0.266 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 6.18 | $0.220 | $1.36 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 19.48 | $0.051 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Oct 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.009 | $3 | Oct 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 20.73 | $0.193 | $4 | Sep 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Apr 17, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce no change?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 9.75 | $0.040 | $0.39 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 15.78 | $0.040 | $0.63 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.040 | $0.07 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?Yes | sell | 7.77 | $0.192 | $1.49 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.78 | $0.180 | $1.4 | Feb 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Feb 3, 2025 UTC |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 9.86 | $0.430 | $4.24 | Jan 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.009 | $1.08 | Jan 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.007 | $1.05 | Jan 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jan 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will FDP be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Jan 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 32.57 | $0.607 | $19.76 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 59.17 | $0.060 | $3.55 | Nov 9, 2024 UTC |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 7.4 | $0.480 | $3.55 | Nov 9, 2024 UTC |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | sell | 9.43 | $0.030 | $0.28 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Kamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | sell | 12.55 | $0.955 | $11.99 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 37.65 | $0.051 | $1.92 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.800 | $1.92 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 12.55 | $0.470 | $5.9 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.033 | $2 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?No | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
 Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?No | buy | 6.54 | $0.240 | $1.57 | Nov 3, 2024 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.