Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 11.69 | $0.890 | $11.22 | +$0.82 |
 Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 1 | $0.760 | $0.76 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 4.4 |
| $0.910 |
| $4.15 |
| +$0.15 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.55 | $0.880 | $4 | $0 |
 Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.48 | $0.890 | $3.43 | +$0.33 |
 Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3.17 | +$0.17 |
 Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 3.18 | $0.939 | $3.05 | +$0.06 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 3.79 | $0.794 | $2.64 | -$0.37 |
 Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.86 | $0.910 | $2.63 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 311.7 |
| $0.500 |
| $155.85 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.910 | $2.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 90.2 | $0.332 | $29.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 90.09 | $0.333 | $30 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.880 | $4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.910 | $4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.48 | $0.890 | $3.1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.41K | $0.332 | $1.13K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.939 | $2.99 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.794 | $3.8 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.41K | $0.333 | $1.14K | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.993 | $5.2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.999 | $5.5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 11.69 | $0.890 | $10.4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 October 27-November 2?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.995 | $1K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.996 | $1K | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.994 | $1K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.995 | $1K | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.874 | $1K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.875 | $1K | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.880 | $1.03 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 22?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.998 | $1.03 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 51.31 | $0.994 | $51 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.996 | $1.03 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.997 | $1.11 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Buffett say "Inflation" 4+ times during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.880 | $1.06 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?Yes | buy | 1.44 | $0.720 | $1.04 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.910 | $1.1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'inflation' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.972 | $1.05 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.890 | $0.99 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.974 | $1.2 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.992 | $1.04 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Adin Ross unbanned from Twitch before 2025?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.190 | $0.2 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.969 | $1.4 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.690 | $0.11 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 RASMR vs. ThreadguyRasmr | buy | 0.42 | $0.530 | $0.22 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Trump" in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 0.37 | $0.810 | $0.3 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.989 | $0.05 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Hoffman vs. WarwickWarwick | buy | 0.07 | $0.740 | $0.05 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.850 | $0.07 | Oct 4, 2024 |