
Resolved No on 23 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 15 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2025 to 23 Aug 2025, the highest close was 50% on 15 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 1.9% on 16 Aug 2025. $10.58K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 8:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 15 Aug 2025 – 23 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2025 | 50.0% |
| 23 Aug 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 3K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 2.07K |
| travegre | Yes | 645.98 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 342.34 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dwC9sr6GEUk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-10
| lissartter | Yes | 266.67 |
| maikaichner | Yes | 252 |
| crypto2705 | Yes | 242.11 |
| DotedCave5 | Yes | 166.67 |
| Teddy1990 | Yes | 101.69 |
| magomed | Yes | 100 |
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