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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.14 | $0.370 | $13 | Aug 21, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 109.03 |
| $0.005 |
| $0.52 |
| Aug 21, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Yes | sell | 135.86 | $0.028 | $3.84 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.020 | $0.83 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 177.17 | $0.023 | $4.07 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.014 | $0.93 | Aug 21, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before September?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.018 | $3.93 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Will Andrej Karpathy join one of Elon Musk's companies by August 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Coinbase acquire Circle before September?Yes | buy | 109.03 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by August 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Tether acquire Circle before September?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Yes | buy | 135.87 | $0.037 | $5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 22?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 177.17 | $0.028 | $5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 127.76 | $0.039 | $5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 561.7 | $0.002 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before September?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 22?Yes | buy | 232.07 | $0.022 | $5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 23?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.036 | $5 | Aug 20, 2025 |