Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 9 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 99.8% on 5 Nov 2024 and the low 21% on 16 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 78.5% on 13 Sep 2024. $1.73M traded over the market's life.
168 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 6:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 89 points · 9 Aug 2024 – 5 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2024 | 45.5% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 366.04K |
| Impeccable-Nurse | No | 6.03K |
| Samfei | No | 5.24K |
| kamala-is-brat | No | 2.46K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Kamala Harris engage in exactly 1 live, publicly-broadcast debate between August 7 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The resolution source for this market will be footage of such a debate, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/number-of-debates-between-trump-and-harris
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| LoseSavings | No | 709.62 |
| Hellstaff | No | 149 |
| tbv.neurono | Yes | 112.26 |
| Coordinated-Disposer | Yes | 59.7 |
| Yass11 | Yes | 31.87 |
| Extroverted-Whistle | Yes | 25.64 |
