Latest trade
Sep 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 6:13 PM UTC.
Analytics
Mania456 has made $1.14 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 30 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 6:13 PM UTC.
$2.57 median trade
Its latest 44 trades covered 31 markets; 70.5% were buys. They run from Dec 16, 2024 UTC to Sep 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 2.32 | $0.958 | $2.23 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 2.32 | $0.958 | $2.22 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-10 03:46 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 18:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
44 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 18:13 UTC
polymarket positions
31 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-10 03:46 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.62 and losing ones cost $0.48 across 30 settled positions. 83.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.41 on “Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?” (No); the largest loss, $0.32 on “Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Sep 2026. It has traded 31 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.23 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 2.93 |
| $0.940 |
| $2.75 |
| Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.800 | $2.35 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.997 | $2.06 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.977 | $2.18 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
 Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.979 | $1.3 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.966 | $1.29 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?No | sell | 2.66 | $0.991 | $2.64 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.984 | $2.62 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.980 | $2.57 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?No | sell | 2.6 | $0.987 | $2.57 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.987 | $2.57 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.95 | $0.870 | $2.57 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.980 | $2.9 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.930 | $2.9 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.980 | $3.06 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
 Grok 5 released by December 31?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.995 | $3.05 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
 Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?No | sell | 3.09 | $0.984 | $3.04 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
| Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.920 | $2.85 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close at <$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.980 | $2.8 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No | sell | 2.81 | $0.995 | $2.8 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.986 | $2.78 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on November 21 2025?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.930 | $2.59 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Chile's election?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.990 | $2.56 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andre Dickens win the 2025 Atlanta mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.992 | $2.54 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
 Next French confidence vote passes?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.996 | $2.53 | Oct 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 13-19?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.999 | $2.53 | Oct 17, 2025 UTC |
 North Korea missile launch by October 15?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.989 | $2.5 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
 Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before March?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.994 | $2.49 | Feb 22, 2025 UTC |
 Ethereum all time high by January 31?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.919 | $3.83 | Jan 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Syria hold national elections by January 31?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.996 | $2.27 | Jan 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?No | buy | 0.78 | $0.996 | $0.78 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.983 | $2.18 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.991 | $1.02 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will Binance delist Pnut by Friday?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.970 | $2.23 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.997 | $2.29 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.999 | $1.39 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | sell | 22.1K | $0.001 | $22.1 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | sell | 5.81K | $0.001 | $5.81 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 27.91K | $0.001 | $27.91 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?Yes | sell | 16.69K | $0.001 | $16.69 | Dec 16, 2024 UTC |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 UTC |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?Yes | sell | 11.21K | $0.001 | $11.21 | Dec 16, 2024 UTC |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?Yes | buy | 27.91K | $0.001 | $27.91 | Dec 16, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.