Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.9%. Yes opened at 8% on 25 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 8% on 25 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 16 Feb 2025. $25.33K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 7:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 25 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | 8.0% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| impic | Yes | 533.48 |
| Slayerz | Yes | 497.05 |
| angrymillenial | Yes | 142.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Shortly after the enactment of the "Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship" executive order, a judge issued a temporary block preventing it from going into effect. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-judge-hear-states-bid-block-trump-birthright-citizenship-order-2025-01-23/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the block on the portion of this executive order that curtails automatic birthright citizenship is lifted by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trumps-birthright-citizenship-ban-unblocked-before-march
| No |
| 1.06 |
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