Latest trade
Nov 4, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 5:17 PM UTC.
nostradamus666 is down $99.18 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 23 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-01-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Nov 4, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 5:17 PM UTC.
$12.5 median trade
Its latest 49 trades covered 22 markets; 59.2% were buys. They run from Aug 16, 2024 UTC to Nov 4, 2024 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-01-01 09:11 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 17:17 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
49 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 17:17 UTC
polymarket positions
24 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-01-01 09:11 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $92.19 and losing ones cost $191.37 across 23 settled positions. 43.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $23.11 on “Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $75.6 on “Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Nov 2024. It has traded 22 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 27.02 |
| $0.440 |
| $11.89 |
| Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 30.61 | $0.390 | $11.94 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 48.16 | $0.999 | $48.11 | Sep 18, 2024 UTC |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 48.16 | $0.519 | $25 | Sep 18, 2024 UTC |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.466 | $5.83 | Sep 18, 2024 UTC |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Sep 12, 2024 UTC |
Who will win the debate according to polls?Kamala | sell | 20.27 | $0.988 | $20.03 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.100 | $2.44 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | sell | 57.69 | $0.250 | $14.42 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?Yes | sell | 12.48 | $0.150 | $1.87 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" at debate?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.160 | $2.67 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Will Kamala and Trump both say "border" 5 or more times at debate?Yes | buy | 15.8 | $0.740 | $11.69 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.118 | $4.2 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?Trump | buy | 9.04 | $0.830 | $7.5 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Who will win the debate according to polls?Kamala | buy | 20.27 | $0.740 | $15 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.490 | $17.5 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.990 | $27.49 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?Yes | buy | 12.48 | $0.580 | $7.24 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" at debate?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.360 | $6 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
Solana above $145 on August 30?Yes | sell | 25.97 | $0.090 | $2.34 | Aug 30, 2024 UTC |
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Aug 30, 2024 UTC |
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?Yes | sell | 36.66 | $0.340 | $12.46 | Aug 28, 2024 UTC |
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?No | sell | 28.51 | $0.910 | $25.94 | Aug 28, 2024 UTC |
Solana above $145 on August 30?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Aug 28, 2024 UTC |
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Aug 28, 2024 UTC |
Solana above $145 on August 30?Yes | buy | 33.71 | $0.890 | $30 | Aug 26, 2024 UTC |
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?Yes | buy | 48.28 | $0.850 | $41.04 | Aug 26, 2024 UTC |
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?No | sell | 16.12 | $0.910 | $14.67 | Aug 26, 2024 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September?Yes | sell | 77.68 | $0.983 | $76.36 | Aug 26, 2024 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September?Yes | buy | 52.37 | $0.955 | $50 | Aug 25, 2024 UTC |
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?Yes | buy | 20.28 | $0.880 | $17.85 | Aug 25, 2024 UTC |
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?Yes | buy | 26.43 | $0.820 | $21.67 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 30.61 | $0.490 | $15 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.260 | $15 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Aug 22, 2024 UTC |
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?Yes | buy | 27.02 | $0.660 | $17.83 | Aug 22, 2024 UTC |
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.160 | $2.96 | Aug 22, 2024 UTC |
Will RFK drop out before November?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.952 | $15.6 | Aug 22, 2024 UTC |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Aug 19, 2024 UTC |
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Aug 19, 2024 UTC |
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Aug 16, 2024 UTC |
Will RFK drop out before November?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Aug 16, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.