Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.8%. Yes opened at 57% on 17 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 17 Aug 2024 to 23 Aug 2024, the highest close was 98.2% on 22 Aug 2024 and the lowest 55.5% on 20 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 77.5% on 21 Aug 2024. $698.7K traded over the market's life.
62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 11:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2024 | 57.0% |
| 23 Aug 2024 | 95.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lolololol-743 | No | 21.95K |
| olympus | No | 6.77K |
| t3verill | No | 1.33K |
| Twin-Futon | No | 1.26K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2024. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Kennedy from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Kennedy does not announce his withdrawal or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RFK Jr. or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-rfk-drop-out-before-november
| Nah | No | 794.13 |
| gfrruu | No | 500 |
| greyareas-894 | No | 344.83 |
| didiwin | No | 325.87 |
| Astonishing-Chaise | No | 11.11 |
| The-archiTECH | Yes | 3.44 |
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