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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 9.45 | $0.529 | $0.61 | -$4.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 7.14 |
| $0.280 |
| $0.54 |
| -$1.46 |
| sell |
| 5.35 |
| $0.610 |
| $3.26 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryNo | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of December?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 S&P 500 all time high by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 9?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $190 before 2026??No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.390 | $12 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 330 | $0.060 | $19.8 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.090 | $1.13 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.81 | $0.270 | $4 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 3?Down | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on December 3?Down | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 3?Down | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |