Analytics
Trading is closed with the 80k side last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 45 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 73% on 23 Nov 2025 and the lowest 35.5% on 19 Nov 2025. A week before that last close the 80k side was at 54%; a month before, 63.5%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 65.5% on 21 Nov 2025.
$305.95K has traded since listing.
The largest 80k position is JediFarmer with 364 shares; the largest 100k position is Vilasenvento with 402. Ten wallets hold 93.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the 80k price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | 80k price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 35.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vilasenvento | 100k | 401.66 |
| JediFarmer | 80k | 363.64 |
| yngjeezy | 80k | 320 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between November 18, 2025 at 1:30 PM ET and December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-hit-80k-or-100k-first
| 80k |
| 140.25 |
| Marco83 | 100k | 53.35 |
| 0xTritium | 100k | 34.48 |
| Simplistic-Campanile | 100k | 29.99 |
| AndrewJordan | 100k | 26.32 |
| pawelnrg | 80k | 20.41 |
| froglolz | 80k | 20 |
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