Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 606.06 | $0.033 | $12.12 | -$7.88 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.026 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 438.56 |
| $0.046 |
| $8.33 |
| -$11.67 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.220 | $7.23 | -$12.77 |
| buy |
| 104.17 |
| $0.048 |
| $5 |
| Dec 2, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 25-December 1?No | buy | 13.83 | $0.940 | $13 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Murderer" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 15.95 | $0.627 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Shutdown" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 16.89 | $0.592 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Insurance" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 19.01 | $0.526 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Moscow" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 16.37 | $0.611 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 22.95 | $0.436 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 30.87 | $0.324 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 27.96 | $0.930 | $26 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 93.15 | $0.928 | $86.47 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 175.26 | $0.097 | $17 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 90.5 | $0.221 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?Yes | sell | 14.08 | $0.780 | $10.98 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 25?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.040 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 88.89 | $0.900 | $80 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?No | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | sell | 121.25 | $0.840 | $101.85 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | buy | 43.37 | $0.920 | $39.9 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 21?No | buy | 165.33 | $0.968 | $160 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 66.26 | $0.470 | $31.14 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 55 | $0.439 | $24.15 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?No | sell | 68.22 | $0.810 | $55.26 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No | buy | 348.48 | $0.144 | $50.02 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 103.41 | $0.967 | $100 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 24.51 | $0.810 | $19.85 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 113.13 | $0.177 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 606.06 | $0.033 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 438.56 | $0.046 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.027 | $30 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31Yes | buy | 80.7 | $0.372 | $30 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?No | buy | 68.22 | $0.440 | $30 | Oct 26, 2025 |