Latest trade
Dec 15, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:57 PM UTC.
Analytics
frbow is down $214.27 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 18 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 15, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:57 PM UTC.
$16.93 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 27 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Nov 19, 2025 UTC to Dec 15, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.220 | $10.77 | -$9.23 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 192.3 | $0.065 | $12.5 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-01 10:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 16:57 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 16:57 UTC
polymarket positions
19 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-01 10:15 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $92.78 and losing ones cost $149.87 across 18 settled positions. 72.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $25.26 on “Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?” (No); the largest loss, $50.02 on “House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Dec 2025. It has traded 35 markets. Its open positions are worth $25.75 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 606.06 |
| $0.033 |
| $8.18 |
| -$11.82 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 438.56 | $0.046 | $6.8 | -$13.2 |
| sell |
| 17.29 |
| $0.975 |
| $16.86 |
| Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | sell | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | sell | 20.51 | $0.975 | $20 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | sell | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 74 | $0.850 | $62.9 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.850 | $22.1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.026 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.048 | $5 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 25-December 1?No | buy | 13.83 | $0.940 | $13 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Murderer" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 15.95 | $0.627 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Shutdown" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 16.89 | $0.592 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Insurance" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 19.01 | $0.526 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Moscow" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 16.37 | $0.611 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 22.95 | $0.436 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 30.87 | $0.324 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 27.96 | $0.930 | $26 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 76.32 | $0.149 | $11.37 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.149 | $1.49 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 88.93 | $0.149 | $13.25 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 93.15 | $0.928 | $86.47 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 175.26 | $0.097 | $17 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 103.41 | $0.989 | $102.27 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.910 | $40.95 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | sell | 43.36 | $0.960 | $41.63 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 90.5 | $0.221 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?Yes | sell | 14.08 | $0.780 | $10.98 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 25?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.040 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 88.89 | $0.900 | $80 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?No | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 0.37 | $0.889 | $0.33 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?No | buy | 93.82 | $0.110 | $10.32 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?No | buy | 6.18 | $0.110 | $0.68 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 60.24 | $0.660 | $39.76 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 30 | $0.720 | $21.6 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | sell | 121.25 | $0.840 | $101.85 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | buy | 43.37 | $0.920 | $39.9 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 21?No | buy | 165.33 | $0.968 | $160 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 66.26 | $0.470 | $31.14 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 55 | $0.439 | $24.15 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?No | sell | 68.22 | $0.810 | $55.26 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.