Latest trade
Dec 15, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:02 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 18 settled positions.
frbow is down $214.27 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Dec 15, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:02 PM UTC.
$16.93 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 27 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Nov 19, 2025 UTC to Dec 15, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.220 | $10.77 | -$9.23 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 192.3 | $0.065 | $12.5 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-01 10:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 18:02 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 18:02 UTC
polymarket positions
19 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-01 10:15 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $92.78 and losing ones cost $149.87 across 18 settled positions. 72.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $25.26 on “Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?” (No); the largest loss, $50.02 on “House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Dec 2025. It has traded 35 markets. Its open positions are worth $25.75 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 606.06 |
| $0.033 |
| $8.18 |
| -$11.82 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 438.56 | $0.046 | $6.8 | -$13.2 |
| sell |
| 17.29 |
| $0.975 |
| $16.86 |
| Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | sell | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | sell | 20.51 | $0.975 | $20 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | sell | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 74 | $0.850 | $62.9 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.850 | $22.1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.026 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.048 | $5 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 25-December 1?No | buy | 13.83 | $0.940 | $13 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Murderer" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 15.95 | $0.627 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Shutdown" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 16.89 | $0.592 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Insurance" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 19.01 | $0.526 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Moscow" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 16.37 | $0.611 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 22.95 | $0.436 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 1 - 7)No | buy | 30.87 | $0.324 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 27.96 | $0.930 | $26 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 76.32 | $0.149 | $11.37 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.149 | $1.49 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 88.93 | $0.149 | $13.25 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 93.15 | $0.928 | $86.47 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 175.26 | $0.097 | $17 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 103.41 | $0.989 | $102.27 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.910 | $40.95 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | sell | 43.36 | $0.960 | $41.63 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 90.5 | $0.221 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?Yes | sell | 14.08 | $0.780 | $10.98 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 25?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.040 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 88.89 | $0.900 | $80 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?No | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 0.37 | $0.889 | $0.33 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?No | buy | 93.82 | $0.110 | $10.32 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?No | buy | 6.18 | $0.110 | $0.68 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 60.24 | $0.660 | $39.76 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 30 | $0.720 | $21.6 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | sell | 121.25 | $0.840 | $101.85 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | buy | 43.37 | $0.920 | $39.9 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 21?No | buy | 165.33 | $0.968 | $160 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 66.26 | $0.470 | $31.14 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 55 | $0.439 | $24.15 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?No | sell | 68.22 | $0.810 | $55.26 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.