Analytics
Yes is at 12%, down 4.5 points from 16.5% when the market opened on 6 Jan 2026.
Across the 281 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42.5% on 14 Jan 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 1 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%; a month before, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 21.5% on 16 Jan 2026.
$181.48 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $125.25K since listing. The order book holds $768.38, with a 10.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.36K bought Yes and $13.15K bought No; the largest was a $1.11K buy of No at 83.8¢.
The largest Yes position is ScottyNooo with 2K shares; the largest No position is Doppelpack with 4.3K. Ten wallets hold 65.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 281 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 16.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 12.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Doppelpack | No | 4.33K |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 4.26K |
| DEGENKHAN | No | 2.19K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-endorse-mara-corina-machado-for-venezuela-president-in-2026-314
| ScottyNooo |
| Yes |
| 1.97K |
| Immaterial-Advantage | Yes | 1.5K |
| rocky42016 | Yes | 1.25K |
| Victorious-Box | Yes | 958.51 |
| XYZ37 | Yes | 781.51 |
| Bobic | No | 769.48 |
| ooops | No | 690.72 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
