Latest trade
May 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:09 PM UTC.
Analytics
Staid-Model is down $26.35 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:09 PM UTC.
$1.95 median trade
Its latest 35 trades covered 20 markets; 65.7% were buys. They run from Oct 7, 2025 UTC to May 7, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.98 | $0.167 | $1 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-07 08:37 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 22:09 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
35 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 22:09 UTC
polymarket positions
13 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-07 08:37 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $20.61 and losing ones cost $26.82 across 11 settled positions. 45.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.68 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $23 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 7 May 2026. It has traded 20 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 22.22 |
| $0.067 |
| $1.49 |
| May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 43.47 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 24.62 | $0.290 | $7.14 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 43.47 | $0.530 | $23.04 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 30.23 | $0.750 | $22.67 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 44.54 | $0.210 | $9.35 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 44.55 | $0.220 | $9.8 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.150 | $9.38 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 30.23 | $0.430 | $13 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.380 | $1.95 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.180 | $1.13 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Nov 18, 2025 UTC |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.130 | $0.81 | Nov 18, 2025 UTC |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.790 | $3.29 | Nov 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Oct 11, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.120 | $2 | Oct 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 UTC |
 Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Yes | sell | 5.97 | $0.900 | $5.37 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.