Latest trade
Jan 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:07 AM UTC.
Analytics
Spiffy-Phosphate is down $4.92 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 4 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:07 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 22 trades covered 20 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jan 12, 2026 UTC to Jan 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 12.4 | $0.161 | $6.51 | +$4.51 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.85 | $0.127 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 06:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
15 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 10:07 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
22 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 10:07 UTC
polymarket positions
6 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $0.08 and losing ones cost $3 across 4 settled positions.
The largest win was $0.08 on “Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $1 on “Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Jan 2026. It has traded 20 markets. Its open positions are worth $14.24 across 15 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.32 |
| $0.760 |
| $1.28 |
| +$0.28 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.520 | $0.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 12.1 | $0.083 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? | Yes | 10.85 | $0.092 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | No | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.13 | $0.470 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| buy |
| 2.5 |
| $0.400 |
| $1 |
| Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.929 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.083 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.85 | $0.092 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.