Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.570 | $0.69 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.07 |
| $0.962 |
| $1.03 |
| Feb 24, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q1 2025?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.973 | $1.03 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
| Base airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 US bank failure before July?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.620 | $1.1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 US bank failure before March?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.810 | $1.2 | Jan 11, 2025 |
| U.S. recession before May 2025?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.950 | $1.02 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Solana hit $300 in December?No | buy | 0.21 | $0.988 | $0.21 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?No | buy | 0.23 | $0.981 | $0.23 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Bird flu pandemic in 2024?No | buy | 0.22 | $0.979 | $0.22 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?No | buy | 0.13 | $0.958 | $0.12 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.949 | $24.97 | Nov 27, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.950 | $25 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 GPT-5 released in 2024?No | buy | 0.4 | $0.990 | $0.4 | Nov 27, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.949 | $28.47 | Nov 27, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.950 | $28.5 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 US bank failure before December?No | buy | 0.24 | $0.990 | $0.24 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 995 | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 27, 2024 |
| Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 995 | $0.002 | $1.99 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 0.41 | $0.978 | $0.4 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Wednesday?No | buy | 0.37 | $0.975 | $0.36 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 0.14 | $0.997 | $0.14 | Nov 27, 2024 |