
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12% on 7 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 134 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2024 to 18 Dec 2024, the highest close was 12% on 7 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Dec 2024. $13.3M traded over the market's life.
487 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 19, 9:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 134 points, 7 Aug 2024 – 18 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2024 | 12.0% |
| 18 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.11M |
| Tombori | Yes | 230.98K |
| Richxmond | Yes | 93.29K |
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's December 2024 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased by 75 or more basis points below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 17 - 18, 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-december-2024
| Yes |
| 56.05K |
| Bayello | Yes | 40K |
| tthomp | Yes | 38.79K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 38.18K |
| rekven | Yes | 37.7K |
| Bumpy-Outcome | Yes | 34.69K |
| Akap77 | Yes | 34.02K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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