Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 39 | $0.960 | $38.32 | +$0.88 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 36.84 | $0.760 | $28 | 23d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 39.68 |
| $0.799 |
| $25.34 |
| -$6.36 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.550 | $24.25 | -$3.25 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 36.84 | $0.760 | $20.82 | -$7.18 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.550 | $18.7 | +$7.7 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.790 | $17 | +$1.2 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 26 | $0.500 | $16.51 | +$3.51 |
 Spain snap election called in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.700 | $15.7 | +$1.7 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 30 | $0.640 | $13.95 | -$5.25 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 38.71 | $0.310 | $11.03 | -$0.97 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 10 | $0.550 | $8.45 | +$2.95 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 8 | $0.730 | $7.4 | +$1.56 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 15.52 | $0.530 | $7.06 | -$1.16 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.320 | $5.9 | -$0.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.270 | $3.44 | -$2.56 |
 Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 50 | $0.120 | $2.75 | -$3.25 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.560 | $1.25 | -$4.35 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 13.51 | $0.740 | $1.01 | -$8.99 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.380 | $0.67 | -$3.13 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.63 | $0.510 | $0.56 | +$0.24 |
| buy |
| 26 |
| $0.500 |
| $13 |
| 24d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.960 | $37.44 | 25d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | sell | 27.12 | $0.989 | $26.82 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.968 | $6.78 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.37 | $0.690 | $14.75 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.972 | $9.71 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.799 | $25.57 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.68 | $0.798 | $6.13 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 50 | $0.984 | $49.2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 30.85 | $0.940 | $29 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | sell | 27.44 | $0.994 | $27.28 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.580 | $13.34 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.640 | $12 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 27.44 | $0.900 | $24.7 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 6.12 | $0.992 | $6.07 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes | sell | 16.97 | $0.997 | $16.92 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 27.12 | $0.959 | $26 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 38.71 | $0.310 | $12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes | buy | 16.97 | $0.884 | $15 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | sell | 18.42 | $0.997 | $18.36 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 18.42 | $0.950 | $17.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.270 | $6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.979 | $6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.510 | $15.3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Yes | buy | 18.33 | $0.952 | $17.45 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.640 | $19.2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.337 | $10.12 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.228 | $6.84 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 30 | $0.800 | $24.01 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 30 | $0.812 | $24.36 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.440 | $14.52 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.430 | $12.9 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 34.61 | $0.920 | $31.84 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No | sell | 19.86 | $0.590 | $11.72 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.100 | $1.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | buy | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.550 | $27.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 79 | $0.610 | $48.19 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 50.11 | $0.962 | $48.21 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 39.47 | $0.844 | $33.3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.87 | $0.760 | $33.34 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.820 | $6.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |