Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? | No | 3.04 | $0.986 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Human moon landing in 2026?No | sell | 4.13 | $0.955 | $3.94 | Apr 28, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 3.16 |
| $0.940 |
| $2.97 |
| Apr 28, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.976 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.974 | $1.81 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 4.14 | $0.966 | $4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.986 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.87 | $0.959 | $6.59 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 5.92 | $0.972 | $5.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.981 | $6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 4.45 | $0.674 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 7.65 | $0.970 | $7.42 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20?Down | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.87 | $0.860 | $5.91 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.966 | $7 | Dec 29, 2025 |
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 7.17 | $0.976 | $7 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?No | buy | 9.68 | $0.994 | $9.62 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be greater than 26,000,000?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.997 | $15.58 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or higher on September 22?No | buy | 7.18 | $0.975 | $7 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will Vietnam win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.932 | $7 | Sep 20, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before September?No | buy | 5.94 | $0.994 | $5.9 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.968 | $6 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1K | $0.996 | $998.99 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 1K | $0.998 | $999 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or below on August 20?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.948 | $3 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 1.06K | $0.997 | $1.06K | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.998 | $1.06K | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1K | $0.997 | $1K | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 1K | $0.999 | $1K | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Drake donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.970 | $6 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.982 | $4 | Aug 19, 2025 |