Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.4%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 21 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 117 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2025 to 29 Mar 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41% on 4 Dec 2025 and the lowest 3.6% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 28.4% on 22 Mar 2026. $367.86K traded over the market's life.
149 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 10:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 117 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 15.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 3.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 3.28K |
| MartySupreme123 | Yes | 3.03K |
| steamrolling | Yes | 2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://yaps.kaito.ai/infomarkets) at any point between November 20, 2025, and March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://yaps.kaito.ai/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released. The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://yaps.kaito.ai/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://yaps.kaito.ai/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-polymarket-mindshare-hit-70
| Yes |
| 1.47K |
| Indigo Oracle 3F2C | Yes | 1.12K |
| 445545 | No | 580.42 |
| Rapid-Netbook | No | 400 |
| qbsk | Yes | 355.7 |
| needalight | Yes | 353 |
| rotitelur2299 | Yes | 333.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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