Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 6, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$14.0M

Resolved

Settled

Jan 6, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 6 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.9% on 3 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 370 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2025 to 6 Jan 2026, the highest close was 7.3% on 4 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Dec 2025. $13.97M traded over the market's life.

376 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:24 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 370 points, 3 Jan 2025 – 6 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.42M
flow-trader-at-optiver	Yes	138.09K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	131.77K

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'How to Train Your Dragon' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.