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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 7.14 |
| $0.140 |
| $1 |
| Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.130 | $0.93 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.032 | $1.92 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.360 | $4.86 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 11.77 | $0.680 | $8 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 7.31 | $0.700 | $5.12 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.46 | $0.700 | $3.12 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | sell | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 7.1 | $0.851 | $6.04 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.859 | $1.1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5.82 | $0.859 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 23.56 | $0.841 | $19.81 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.849 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.849 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.849 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.849 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 48.14 | $0.821 | $39.52 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.829 | $1.1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.829 | $1.1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.829 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.820 | $1.1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.820 | $1.1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.820 | $1.1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.820 | $1.1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.820 | $1.1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.820 | $1.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.820 | $1.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.810 | $1.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.810 | $1.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.810 | $1.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.810 | $1.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.810 | $1.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.810 | $1.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |