Latest trade
Jun 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 8:26 PM UTC.
Analytics
Serious-Theology is down $5.74 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 34 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 8:26 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 44 markets; 80.0% were buys. They run from Mar 8, 2026 UTC to Jun 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 10.42 | $0.480 | $7.97 | +$2.97 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.937 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-21 12:43 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 20:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 20:26 UTC
polymarket positions
36 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-21 12:43 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $19.95 and losing ones cost $5.17 across 34 settled positions. 79.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.8 on “Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2 on “Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Jun 2026. It has traded 52 markets. Its open positions are worth $10.67 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 29.59 |
| $0.169 |
| $1.36 |
| -$3.64 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.893 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 3.24 | $0.309 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
| sell |
| 1.19 |
| $0.996 |
| $1.19 |
| Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 7.46 | $0.994 | $7.42 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 2.58 | $0.760 | $1.96 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes | buy | 13.21 | $0.076 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.893 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.57 | $0.372 | $0.96 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.550 | $5.97 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
 S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.24 | $0.309 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.57 | $0.389 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Clavicular be the top ranked Chad by March 31?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US add at least 100k jobs in March?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.840 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 10.34 | $0.570 | $5.89 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 6.49 | $0.760 | $4.93 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will France strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 7.45 | $0.671 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.11 | $0.997 | $5.09 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.983 | $5.14 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 3.34 | $0.598 | $2 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.580 | $6 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.956 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.728 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.59 | $0.169 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.93 | $0.983 | $7.8 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.42 | $0.017 | $0.04 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.948 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 13.55 | $0.369 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.