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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.200 | $76 | +$56 |
 Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Solana reach $130 in February?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.200 |
| $11.5 |
| -$8.5 |
 ECB rate cut in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.300 | $5 | -$25 |
 Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.150 | $4.9 | -$10.1 |
| buy |
| 9.61 |
| $0.130 |
| $1.25 |
| Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No | buy | 67.89 | $0.589 | $40 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 126.7 | $0.158 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.170 | $34 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.067 | $6.7 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.111 | $11.09 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.008 | $0.98 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.017 | $0.43 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | sell | 26.48 | $0.970 | $25.69 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 40 | $0.973 | $38.92 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | buy | 70 | $0.410 | $28.7 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | buy | 0.53 | $0.390 | $0.21 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 184.39 | $0.002 | $0.37 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.052 | $5.19 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?No | buy | 200 | $0.037 | $7.4 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | sell | 34.1 | $0.220 | $7.5 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.226 | $9.04 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.931 | $93.1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 192.35 | $0.005 | $0.96 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?No | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?No | sell | 265.04 | $0.111 | $29.31 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.26 | $0.219 | $4.87 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 187.55 | $0.021 | $4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 22.74 | $0.900 | $20.47 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 60 | $0.360 | $21.6 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.052 | $5.2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will None in 2025 occur?Yes | sell | 25.77 | $0.870 | $22.42 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Cardano ETF in 2025?No | sell | 35 | $0.955 | $33.43 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will None in 2025 occur?Yes | buy | 51.56 | $0.582 | $30 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 30.32 | $0.910 | $27.59 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.95 | $0.380 | $4.92 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.227 | $6.8 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.169 | $0.85 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Dec 7, 2025 |