Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 19.59 | $0.998 | $19.56 | +$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | 16d ago |
 |
| No |
| 18.36 |
| $0.953 |
| $17.94 |
| +$0.44 |
 Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? | Yes | 18.14 | $0.976 | $17.64 | -$0.06 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 13.76 | $0.964 | $13.67 | +$0.41 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 11.18 | $0.963 | $11.02 | +$0.25 |
| buy |
| 20.06 |
| $0.997 |
| $20 |
| 16d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 19.59 | $0.998 | $19.55 | 16d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No | buy | 89.91 | $0.541 | $48.68 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 13.76 | $0.964 | $13.26 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?No | buy | 19.06 | $0.997 | $19 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?Yes | buy | 18.14 | $0.976 | $17.7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 16.57 | $0.999 | $16.55 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $10 in June?No | buy | 20.52 | $0.999 | $20.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.51 | $0.999 | $11.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 18.25 | $0.997 | $18.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $10 in May?No | buy | 20.05 | $0.999 | $20.03 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 13.4 | $0.981 | $13.15 | May 11, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 18.36 | $0.953 | $17.5 | May 11, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 16.28 | $0.983 | $16 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.994 | $14 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.997 | $13 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No | buy | 17.31 | $0.982 | $17 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?Yes | buy | 13.76 | $0.999 | $13.75 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.13 | $0.989 | $11.01 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No | buy | 28.11 | $0.996 | $28 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes | buy | 11.17 | $0.960 | $10.72 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.963 | $10.77 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 39.04 | $0.999 | $39 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 10.69 | $0.959 | $10.25 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 23.34 | $0.994 | $23.2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.999 | $16.01 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.390 | $4 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.998 | $16 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No | buy | 14.06 | $0.996 | $14 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 37.11 | $0.997 | $37 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 16.74 | $0.989 | $16.56 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 22.81 | $0.998 | $22.76 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No | buy | 19.13 | $0.996 | $19.05 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.989 | $20.02 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 39.08 | $0.998 | $39 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.964 | $6 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 31.22 | $0.993 | $31 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1.82K | $0.998 | $1.82K | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.82K | $0.999 | $1.82K | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 2.93K | $0.998 | $2.92K | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 41.41 | $0.992 | $41.08 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.9K | $0.999 | $2.9K | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | sell | 25.16 | $0.997 | $25.08 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 2.89K | $0.994 | $2.87K | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.48 | $0.991 | $2.46 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 2.89K | $0.995 | $2.87K | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 25.16 | $0.994 | $25.01 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.49 | $0.996 | $2.48 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 25.1 | $0.996 | $25 | Oct 4, 2025 |