Latest trade
Oct 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:21 PM UTC.
Analytics
blackswan111 is down $109.81 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:21 PM UTC.
$17.6 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 45 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Oct 24, 2025 UTC to Oct 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 22.55 | $0.998 | $22.54 | +$0.03 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | 21d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-24 13:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 18:21 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 18:21 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-24 13:26 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $121.64 and losing ones cost $232.67 across the latest 50 settled positions. 28% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $71.53 on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $49.8 on “Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Oct 2026. It has traded 298 markets. Its open positions are worth $99.78 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 18.36 |
| $0.953 |
| $18.22 |
| +$0.72 |
 Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? | Yes | 18.14 | $0.976 | $17.82 | +$0.12 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | No | 17.46 | $0.988 | $17.38 | +$0.13 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.08 | $0.975 | $12.78 | +$0.03 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 11.18 | $0.963 | $11.04 | +$0.27 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No| buy |
| 13.08 |
| $0.975 |
| $12.75 |
| 21d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No | buy | 17.46 | $0.988 | $17.25 | 21d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 23.55 | $0.998 | $23.5 | 21d ago |
 Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 20.16 | $0.991 | $19.98 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.1 | $0.997 | $11.07 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 19.59 | $0.998 | $19.55 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No | buy | 89.91 | $0.541 | $48.68 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 13.76 | $0.964 | $13.26 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by July 31?No | buy | 19.06 | $0.997 | $19 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?Yes | buy | 18.14 | $0.976 | $17.7 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 16.57 | $0.999 | $16.55 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $10 in June?No | buy | 20.52 | $0.999 | $20.5 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.51 | $0.999 | $11.5 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 18.25 | $0.997 | $18.2 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $10 in May?No | buy | 20.05 | $0.999 | $20.03 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 13.4 | $0.981 | $13.15 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 18.36 | $0.953 | $17.5 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 16.28 | $0.983 | $16 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.994 | $14 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.997 | $13 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No | buy | 17.31 | $0.982 | $17 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?Yes | buy | 13.76 | $0.999 | $13.75 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.13 | $0.989 | $11.01 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No | buy | 28.11 | $0.996 | $28 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes | buy | 11.17 | $0.960 | $10.72 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.963 | $10.77 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 39.04 | $0.999 | $39 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 10.69 | $0.959 | $10.25 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 23.34 | $0.994 | $23.2 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.999 | $16.01 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.390 | $4 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.998 | $16 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No | buy | 14.06 | $0.996 | $14 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 37.11 | $0.997 | $37 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 16.74 | $0.989 | $16.56 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 22.81 | $0.998 | $22.76 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No | buy | 19.13 | $0.996 | $19.05 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.989 | $20.02 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 39.08 | $0.998 | $39 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.964 | $6 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 31.22 | $0.993 | $31 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1.82K | $0.998 | $1.82K | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.82K | $0.999 | $1.82K | Oct 25, 2025 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 2.93K | $0.998 | $2.92K | Oct 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 41.41 | $0.992 | $41.08 | Oct 25, 2025 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.9K | $0.999 | $2.9K | Oct 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | sell | 25.16 | $0.997 | $25.08 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.