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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.59K | $0.071 | $29.35 | -$83.71 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 382 | $0.160 | $61.12 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 109 |
| $0.560 |
| $61.04 |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 109 | $0.570 | $62.13 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 163 | $0.380 | $61.94 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 163 | $0.390 | $63.57 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 155 | $0.410 | $63.55 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.650 | $100.75 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 174 | $0.561 | $97.64 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 174 | $0.580 | $100.92 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 106.03 | $0.984 | $104.36 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 106.04 | $0.520 | $55.14 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 829.86 | $0.060 | $50 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?Yes | buy | 308.13 | $0.003 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 17.42 | $0.050 | $0.87 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 756.49 | $0.083 | $63.06 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.510 | $2.68 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 274.4 | $0.220 | $60.37 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 9.7 | $0.370 | $3.59 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 44.16 | $0.080 | $3.53 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | sell | 62.29 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | buy | 62.29 | $0.470 | $29.27 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $112K on September 5?Yes | sell | 71.38 | $0.410 | $29.27 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $112K on September 5?Yes | buy | 71.39 | $0.440 | $31.41 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 4.57 | $0.910 | $4.16 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 74.23 | $0.180 | $13.36 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Bolsonaro guilty?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.880 | $0.96 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.940 | $0.98 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.947 | $0.99 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.956 | $0.99 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.961 | $0.99 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.930 | $0.99 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.951 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.968 | $1.01 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 264.69 | $0.256 | $67.7 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Putin" during his announcement on September 2?Yes | sell | 907.6 | $0.075 | $67.7 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Putin" during his announcement on September 2?Yes | buy | 907.61 | $0.950 | $862.48 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 4.63K | $0.186 | $862.48 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.64 | $0.250 | $1.91 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.180 | $0.95 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.270 | $0.96 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.11 | $0.190 | $3.25 | Sep 1, 2025 |