Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?No | buy | 11.7 | $0.880 | $10.3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 31.88 |
| $0.690 |
| $22 |
| Jun 23, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 84.75 | $0.059 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.450 | $4.95 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 15.49 | $0.710 | $11 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 11.26 | $0.750 | $8.45 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 18.07 | $0.340 | $6.14 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.730 | $8.03 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.910 | $11.1 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by February 14?No | buy | 33.7 | $0.920 | $31 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 11.27 | $0.710 | $8 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?No | buy | 23 | $0.830 | $19.09 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Was the Cybertruck bombing a lone wolf attack?Yes | buy | 8.12 | $0.920 | $7.47 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?No | sell | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by January 31?No | sell | 14.66 | $0.790 | $11.58 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.690 | $7 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| North Korea missile test by January 31?No | buy | 14.67 | $0.750 | $11 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow before 2025?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 30.6 | $0.750 | $22.95 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?Yes | sell | 15.32 | $0.250 | $3.83 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | sell | 24.13 | $0.586 | $14.14 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.340 | $10.3 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | buy | 24.14 | $0.290 | $7 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Luigi Mangione charged by Friday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.547 | $5.47 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?Yes | buy | 16.6 | $0.610 | $10.13 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Assad leaves Syria before 2025?Yes | buy | 22.97 | $0.740 | $17 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 South Korean President impeached by Friday?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.009 | $0.18 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| South Korean President impeached by Friday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.490 | $29.4 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.750 | $6.45 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel before December?No | buy | 11.35 | $0.969 | $11 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Iran strike on Israel before December?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iraq before December?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | Nov 25, 2024 |