
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 58% on 4 Oct 2024. Before it settled, the high was 79.5% on 13 Nov 2024 and the low 0.5% on 1 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 65.5% on 26 Nov 2024. $2.3M traded over the market's life.
279 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 7:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 59 points · 4 Oct 2024 – 1 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2024 | 58.0% |
| 1 Dec 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hana1234 | Yes | 9.63K |
| Polymarketeer1 | Yes | 6.42K |
| Loveisasimple | Yes | 5.92K |
| AlexandersPredictions | Yes | 1.37K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia controls the intersection of Zaporizkyi prospekt (H-15) and Minska vulytsia in Kurakhove Ukraine by November 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if the intersection where the roads meet is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kurakhove+intersection.png Kurakhove Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kurakhove+location.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5RiWB9CBKnjC6hzt5 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-kurakhove-before-december
| lambobmal | Yes | 1.32K |
| xRon | Yes | 615.35 |
| veshalka | Yes | 409.99 |
| Verifiable-Cage | Yes | 355.2 |
| CarloXXX | Yes | 314.24 |
| TomPumpernickel | Yes | 302.98 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page