Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 13.5%. Yes opened at 43% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2025 to 6 Jan 2025, the highest close was 43% on 1 Jan 2025 and the lowest 13.5% on 6 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 25.5% on 2 Jan 2025. $92.97K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 5:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 6 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 43.0% |
| 6 Jan 2025 | 13.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| changlau322 | Yes | 2.08 |
| goldin | Yes | 2 |
| thecook | No | 1.47 |
| Octopod | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile test between December 31, 2024, 10:00 AM ET and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korea-missile-test-by-january-31
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