Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.988 | $4 | May 9, 2026 |
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govnoedxD is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,962,992 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$796.89 observed lifetime PnL, 50 resolved positions, a 92.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x4dd5878ea51f2e381f70b9335df46597efd4a776
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 6.69 |
| $0.880 |
| $5.89 |
| May 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?No | buy | 786.45 | $0.520 | $408.95 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.953 | $5.34 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.969 | $2.96 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.989 | $5.32 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.840 | $9.77 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 132.08 | $0.530 | $70 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 8.28 | $0.870 | $7.2 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.997 | $4 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will the Ravens trade for Shedeur Sanders?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.974 | $3 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.989 | $2.56 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Megaquake by October 31?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.960 | $4 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.963 | $3 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by October 31?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.920 | $2.45 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 5 or more times by October 31?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.960 | $3.25 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Damascus by September 15?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by September 30?No | buy | 2.76 | $0.960 | $2.65 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 2025 September second hottest on record?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.919 | $2.6 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet between 700 and 749 times September 1–30?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.994 | $3.23 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 10?No | buy | 2.57 | $0.997 | $2.56 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in September?No | buy | 3.79 | $0.980 | $3.71 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $5.00 in September?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.982 | $3.45 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $350 in September?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.972 | $4 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Damascus by September 30?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.950 | $2.5 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by September 30?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.910 | $2.43 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $390b and $400b on August 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Bull run: SeptemberNo | buy | 2.35 | $0.987 | $2.32 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Apple launch another iPhone on September 9?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.999 | $2.12 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?No | buy | 7.48 | $0.989 | $7.4 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 8?No | buy | 5.72 | $0.979 | $5.6 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 India strike on Pakistan by Friday?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.980 | $6 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 India x Pakistan military clash by Friday?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin close above $140K on July 31?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Rachel Reeves leave Starner’s cabinet by July 15th?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.970 | $7 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Iranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.900 | $6 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $80 in June?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 6.44 | $0.950 | $6.12 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | buy | 6 | $0.983 | $5.9 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.977 | $6.43 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.930 | $4.7 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.