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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 219.38 | $0.530 | $116.27 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 231.24 |
| $0.590 |
| $136.43 |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberYes | buy | 1.03K | $0.418 | $430.64 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 135.44 | $0.790 | $107 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberYes | buy | 55.32 | $0.770 | $42.6 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?No | buy | 128.13 | $0.780 | $100 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Green Party (MDG) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?Yes | buy | 106.68 | $0.872 | $93 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?No | buy | 130.21 | $0.768 | $100 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by September 30?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?No | buy | 143.06 | $0.699 | $100 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | buy | 490.98 | $0.540 | $265 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | buy | 199.01 | $0.784 | $156 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | sell | 54.94 | $0.888 | $48.81 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Any Texas House Democrats arrested by August 19?No | buy | 23.12 | $0.930 | $21.5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Russia announces air truce by August 31?No | buy | 177.81 | $0.731 | $130 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 54.95 | $0.182 | $10 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?No | buy | 4.82 | $0.830 | $4 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?No | buy | 156.63 | $0.830 | $130 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?Yes | buy | 108.66 | $0.920 | $100 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Yes | buy | 133.26 | $0.750 | $100 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?No | buy | 106.67 | $0.750 | $80 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France in July?No | buy | 102.46 | $0.976 | $100 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 101.94 | $0.981 | $100 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 136.43 | $0.733 | $100 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 209.42 | $0.955 | $200 | Jul 27, 2025 |