Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 21 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2025 to 15 Sep 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 12 Sep 2025 and the lowest 37.5% on 21 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 64.5% on 22 Aug 2025. $37.58K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 15, 7:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 21 Aug 2025 – 15 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2025 | 37.5% |
| 15 Sep 2025 | 97.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kapii | No | 3.96K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.04K |
| Enlightened-Alpenhorn | No | 1.04K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Norway on September 8, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party (MDG) wins 4% or more of all valid votes in the next Norwegian parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. If voting in the next Norwegian parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-green-party-mdg-win-4-or-more-of-vote-in-norwegian-election
| No |
| 707.48 |
| Squiggly-Log | No | 507.75 |
| kmcrypto | No | 500 |
| TollefH | No | 260 |
| STEMFRP | No | 248.61 |
| Toppsaus | No | 215 |
| Pokerofnorway | No | 208.74 |
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