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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 12.54K | $0.988 | $12.49K | +$90.37 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.982 | $491 | 3d ago |
| No |
| 6K |
| $0.990 |
| $5.99K |
| +$50.01 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 4.51K | $0.975 | $4.45K | +$50.48 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5K | $0.500 | $3.8K | +$1.3K |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 3.97K | $0.928 | $3.79K | +$107.13 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3.98K | $0.828 | $3.4K | +$107.76 |
 Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 2.2K | $0.990 | $2.18K | +$3.9 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.5K | $0.993 | $1.49K | +$3.75 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.5K | $0.990 | $1.49K | +$8.74 |
 Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.41K | $0.953 | $1.37K | +$24.82 |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.31K | $0.960 | $1.29K | +$32.91 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5K | $0.500 | $1.2K | -$1.3K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.849 | $922.12 | +$27.92 |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? | No | 905.06 | $0.977 | $891.48 | +$6.96 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 850 | $0.929 | $830.88 | +$41.38 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 740 | $0.954 | $735.19 | +$29.29 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 630 | $0.921 | $618.98 | +$38.85 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.930 | $472.5 | +$7.5 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 500 | $0.870 | $432.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 350 | $0.930 | $338.28 | +$12.88 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 320 | $0.914 | $310.24 | +$17.78 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 313.82 | $0.881 | $293.42 | +$16.76 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 200 | $0.957 | $198.1 | +$6.6 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.895 | $187 | +$8 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 120 | $0.942 | $119.1 | +$6.11 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.995 |
| $497.5 |
| 4d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.979 | $979 | 5d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.999 | $999 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.981 | $392.4 | 11d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.994 | $994 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 800 | $0.987 | $789.6 | 11d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.980 | $294 | 12d ago |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 122 | $0.995 | $121.39 | 13d ago |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.995 | $119.4 | 13d ago |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.994 | $497 | 15d ago |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 440.82 | $0.992 | $437.29 | 16d ago |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 700 | $0.984 | $688.8 | 17d ago |
 Will Solana reach $130 in August?No | sell | 175.2 | $0.984 | $172.4 | 19d ago |
| Will Solana reach $140 in August?No | sell | 24.13 | $0.986 | $23.79 | 19d ago |
| Will Solana reach $130 in August?No | sell | 24.8 | $0.985 | $24.43 | 19d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.992 | $198.4 | 22d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | 22d ago |
 Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 287.91 | $0.990 | $285.03 | 23d ago |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | 23d ago |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | 23d ago |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | 23d ago |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?No | buy | 59.32 | $0.990 | $58.73 | 23d ago |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.955 | $95.5 | 24d ago |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 105.06 | $0.955 | $100.33 | 24d ago |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.989 | $98.9 | 24d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 80 | $0.999 | $79.92 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 48 | $0.999 | $47.95 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 80 | $0.999 | $79.92 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8AM ETUp | buy | 80 | $0.020 | $1.6 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8AM ETUp | buy | 45.2 | $0.027 | $1.22 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8AM ETDown | buy | 45.29 | $0.997 | $45.15 | 24d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.969 | $387.6 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5AM ETUp | buy | 80 | $0.999 | $79.92 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5AM ETUp | buy | 80 | $0.999 | $79.92 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4AM ETDown | buy | 0.07 | $0.999 | $0.07 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 48 | $0.997 | $47.86 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 16.7 | $0.990 | $16.53 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 51.8 | $0.998 | $51.7 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11PM ETDown | buy | 7.33 | $0.999 | $7.32 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7PM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 8.55 | $0.999 | $8.54 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 67.7 | $0.990 | $67.02 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 64 | $0.980 | $62.72 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2PM ETDown | buy | 6.59 | $0.998 | $6.58 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 43.97 | $0.999 | $43.93 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 48 | $0.999 | $47.95 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 48 | $0.999 | $47.95 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 54.7 | $0.999 | $54.65 | 25d ago |