Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 47.52 | $0.989 | $47.4 | +$0.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.928 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.39 |
| $0.928 |
| $5.25 |
| +$0.25 |
| buy |
| 5.02 |
| $0.997 |
| $5 |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?No | sell | 8.51 | $0.984 | $8.37 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will GL/PvdA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.990 | $7 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 47.52 | $0.989 | $47 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG II" debut at #1 in its first week?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.070 | $49 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.100 | $50.06 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 FDA approves EYLEA HD?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $124K July 21–27?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?Yes | buy | 7.24 | $0.829 | $6 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?No | buy | 9.41 | $0.850 | $8 | May 31, 2025 |
 Canada election called by midnight?Yes | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 7.02 | $0.997 | $7 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.984 | $11 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Lula out before April?No | buy | 11.14 | $0.987 | $11 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Runway closures due to Mystery Drones by Friday?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Solana above $225 on December 20?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will RB Leipzig beat Bayern Munich?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.930 | $7 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Ripple above $2.40 on December 20?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Runway closures due to Mystery Drones by Friday?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Mystery drones shot down by Friday?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.995 | $7 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Newcastle lead the EPL in points at midway point?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.860 | $7 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.988 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.985 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will John Mahama be the next President of Ghana?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.995 | $7 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 2024 November hottest on record?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.939 | $4 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.990 | $7 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 7.09 | $0.988 | $7 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.992 | $7 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 7.11 | $0.985 | $7 | Nov 22, 2024 |