Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 85.5% on 29 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2025 to 2 May 2025, the highest close was 100% on 1 May 2025 and the lowest 85.5% on 29 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 99.5% on 30 Apr 2025. $2.08M traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 29 Apr 2025 – 2 May 2025, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2025 | 85.5% |
| 2 May 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation (CBC) projects a party to form a majority or minority government in the 2025 Canadian federal election by April 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official projection of a majority or minority government made by the CBC during its election coverage, regardless of whether they later revise that projection. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CBC, including its broadcast, website (CBCNews.ca), or official social media accounts.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/canada-election-called-by-midnight
| ajongako | No | 83.6 |
| na9er | No | 40 |
| SteveCC | No | 16.69 |
| ButcherWang | No | 14.39 |
| choosy | No | 9.62 |
| fare8ro | Yes | 5.22 |
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