Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration?

Resolved

Yes, settled Dec 21, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$93.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Dec 21, 2024 UTC

Topic roomGovernment shutdown Trump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 21 Dec 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 93% on 19 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2024 to 21 Dec 2024, the highest close was 99.4% on 21 Dec 2024 and the lowest 91% on 20 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.4 points up, to 99.4% on 21 Dec 2024. $93.14K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 22, 2:30 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 19 Dec 2024 – 21 Dec 2024, chart shows 85%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Dec 2024	93.0%
21 Dec 2024	99.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
WalterKovacs01	No	519.88
Honghong	No	138.89
Sexylobster	No	111.11

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On December 18, Elon Musk tweeted "No bills should be passed Congress until Jan 20, when @realDonaldTrump takes office." You can read that tweet here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869461048828522999 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes any government funding bill between December 18, 2024, 2:00 PM ET, and January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The bill must actually pass the US house for it to count toward a "Yes" resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US Government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.