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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 2K | $0.020 | $330 | +$290 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Mayweather | sell | 32.55 | $0.543 | $17.68 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 42.89 |
| $0.590 |
| $35.82 |
| +$10.51 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 45 | $0.694 | $33.53 | +$2.27 |
 Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 45 | $0.441 | $28.58 | +$8.71 |
 SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31? | No | 30 | $0.942 | $28.5 | +$0.26 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 35.1 | $0.561 | $27.56 | +$7.87 |
 Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? | No | 34.26 | $0.740 | $27.41 | +$2.06 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 26.29 | $0.968 | $25.38 | -$0.07 |
 Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 170 | $0.020 | $23.8 | +$20.4 |
 Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 25 | $0.816 | $21.63 | +$1.23 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31? | No | 25 | $0.852 | $21.25 | -$0.05 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? | No | 24.44 | $0.638 | $19.67 | +$4.08 |
 Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | Yes | 20.92 | $0.803 | $19.03 | +$2.24 |
 US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $18.7 | +$3.7 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? | Yes | 18.34 | $0.700 | $18.12 | +$5.29 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.850 | $17.9 | +$0.9 |
 Government shutdown by October 1? | No | 16.8 | $0.602 | $16.65 | +$6.55 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 18.34 | $0.785 | $15.68 | +$1.28 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 41.49 | $0.241 | $15.29 | +$5.29 |
 Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.09 | $0.520 | $14.96 | +$6.07 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? | No | 15 | $0.850 | $14.48 | +$1.73 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.743 | $14 | -$0.85 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 17.58 | $0.317 | $13.98 | +$8.41 |
 Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.806 | $13.94 | +$1.85 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | No | 14.97 | $0.820 | $13.55 | +$1.27 |
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.260 |
| $1.56 |
| Jul 13, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?No | buy | 35 | $0.224 | $7.85 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No | buy | 36.6 | $0.404 | $14.79 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.6 | $0.360 | $2.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. KaneMbappe | sell | 15 | $0.800 | $12 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.037 | $0.37 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.021 | $0.11 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.864 | $1.21 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.049 | $0.25 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | sell | 13.76 | $0.390 | $5.37 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 5.7 | $0.770 | $4.39 | Jun 11, 2026 |