Analytics
Yes is at 5.1%, down 41 points from 46% when the market opened on 27 Jan 2026.
Across the 241 daily closes on record from 27 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (34 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.5%; a month before, 6%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 25.5% on 10 Mar 2026.
$29.16K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.61K, with a 2.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $684.16 bought Yes and $3.34K bought No; the largest was a $1.15K buy of No at 91.7¢.
The largest Yes position is Perypery with 499 shares; the largest No position is Paeniscus. with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 71.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 241 points, 27 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2026 | 46.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 5.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Paeniscus. | No | 1.37K |
| Perypery | Yes | 498.63 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 479.24 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-grants-license-for-new-nuclear-reactor-in-2026
| crossx |
| No |
| 308.17 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 239.64 |
| dadapera | Yes | 187.11 |
| neeek | Yes | 162.98 |
| Round-Vacation | No | 162.97 |
| Royal Oracle 096B | Yes | 112.2 |
| SweetChariot | No | 111.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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