Analytics
Yes is at 4.8%, down 27 points from 31.9% when the market opened on 15 Jul 2026.
Across the 102 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 31.9% on 15 Jul 2026 and the lowest 1% on 22 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.3%; a month before, 5.8%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 29.1% on 22 Jul 2026.
$3.16K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.83K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 81 trades, $84.23 bought Yes and $982.23 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 486 shares; the largest No position is qQWQq with 280. Ten wallets hold 94.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 102 points, 15 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | 31.9% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 486.48 |
| qQWQq | No | 279.99 |
| vinii | Yes | 279.92 |
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing. If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/scotus-grants-trump-birthright-citizenship-rehearing-by-december-31-20260710222928774
| oliman2 |
| No |
| 269.5 |
| Witty-Birch | No | 180.94 |
| lineth | No | 170.97 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 67 |
| Newshound | No | 54.51 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 42.4 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 34.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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