Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 105 | $0.530 | $18.38 | -$37.28 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.964 | $8.19 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.820 |
| $8.2 |
| Feb 26, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 105 | $0.530 | $55.65 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 280.81 | $0.580 | $162.87 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Trump-Epstein ParlayYes | buy | 45 | $0.090 | $4.05 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 45 | $0.910 | $40.95 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Trump-Epstein ParlayYes | buy | 349.89 | $0.080 | $27.99 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 350 | $0.904 | $316.5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | sell | 198 | $0.986 | $195.23 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani ParlayNo | sell | 198.17 | $0.970 | $192.22 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 288.24 | $0.187 | $53.8 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.650 | $16.9 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Zohran Mamdani ParlayNo | buy | 26 | $0.340 | $8.84 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.650 | $20.8 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Zohran Mamdani ParlayNo | buy | 32.32 | $0.340 | $10.99 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.650 | $91 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Zohran Mamdani ParlayNo | buy | 139.85 | $0.330 | $46.15 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Cuomo x Mamdani not debate before election?Yes | buy | 275 | $0.150 | $41.25 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?Yes | buy | 275 | $0.836 | $230 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Linea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Linea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 64.5 | $0.800 | $51.6 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $108K on September 1?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.940 | $7.52 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $122K on August 22?Yes | buy | 269 | $0.003 | $0.81 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $122K on August 22?No | buy | 269 | $0.989 | $266.04 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.974 | $1.2 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | buy | 266 | $0.059 | $15.69 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 266 | $0.124 | $32.93 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 266 | $0.699 | $185.96 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 266 | $0.075 | $19.95 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 266 | $0.039 | $10.33 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 NBA Finals: Thunder vs. PacersThunder | buy | 265 | $0.820 | $217.3 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 265 | $0.176 | $46.64 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.036 | $9.36 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.130 | $33.8 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.290 | $75.4 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 256 | $0.730 | $186.88 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?Yes | buy | 256 | $0.210 | $53.76 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes | buy | 256 | $0.032 | $8.19 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?Yes | buy | 256 | $0.016 | $4.1 | May 8, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 255.69 | $0.999 | $255.43 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | sell | 255.68 | $0.999 | $255.42 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 255.69 | $0.999 | $255.43 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 255.43 | $0.992 | $253.39 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 203.39 | $0.998 | $202.98 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.304 | $15.2 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 251.69 | $0.999 | $251.44 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 447.4 | $0.562 | $251.44 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 447.4 | $0.589 | $263.52 | Nov 2, 2024 |