Analytics
Resolved No on 19 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20% on 18 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 122 daily closes on record from 18 Jan 2025 to 19 May 2025, the highest close was 73.5% on 6 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 51 points down, to 0.1% on 19 May 2025. $31.8M traded over the market's life.
536 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 20, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 122 points, 18 Jan 2025 – 19 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2025 | 20.0% |
| 19 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.63M |
| mcgregorforever | Yes | 1.49M |
| F123 | Yes | 382.86K |
The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. On January 16, Romania's coalition government approved a re-run of the presidential election. It is scheduled for May 4, with a second round on May 18, if no candidate receives an absolute majority of the vote (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/romania-confirms-date-tightens-rules-presidential-election-rerun-2025-01-16/). This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Romanian presidential election including any potential second round. This market is inclusive of any election which results in the selection of the next Romanian President. For example, if Romania decides to recertify the results of the November 2024 election, this market would resolve accordingly. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/romania-presidential-election-winner
| 0x1165 | Yes | 369.46K |
| S3r2rr23 | Yes | 151.65K |
| Horduna | Yes | 114.79K |
| atate | Yes | 96.82K |
| theorangebanana | Yes | 92.74K |
| CalinGeorgescuPresedinte | Yes | 86.4K |
| avalanche | Yes | 85.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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