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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 35 | $0.897 | $33.93 | +$2.53 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.21 | $0.161 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
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| No |
| 35 |
| $0.869 |
| $33.9 |
| +$3.48 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.3 | $0.827 | $17.11 | +$1.99 |
EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.957 | $14.89 | +$0.53 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.935 | $9.51 | +$0.16 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.705 | $8.45 | +$1.4 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 15 | $0.494 | $7.54 | +$0.13 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 39.52 | $0.305 | $5.67 | -$6.38 |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.920 | $4.83 | +$0.23 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.800 | $4.78 | +$0.78 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.670 | $4.68 | +$1.33 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 18 | $0.130 | $3.35 | +$1.02 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5 | $0.075 | $0.81 | +$0.43 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10 | $0.160 | $0.73 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 6.21 |
| $0.161 |
| $1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Jan 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.850 | $0.21 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.969 | $0.13 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.910 | $1.58 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?No | sell | 3.01 | $0.930 | $2.8 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.928 | $4.64 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.39 | $0.447 | $10 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | buy | 35.13 | $0.820 | $28.81 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 29.34 | $0.958 | $28.11 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 29.35 | $0.920 | $27 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Aug 28, 2025 |