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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 431.98 | $0.755 | $383.39 | +$57.13 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.150 |
| $62.5 |
| +$47.5 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.063 | $59.14 | +$52.8 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | No | 60.01 | $0.495 | $49.51 | +$19.8 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | Yes | 36.93 | $0.633 | $19.35 | -$4.02 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10.4 | $0.865 | $10.21 | +$1.21 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.040 | $1.8 | -$2.25 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? | No | 1.7 | $0.745 | $1.63 | +$0.36 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 50 | $0.089 | $0.08 | -$4.38 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.010 |
| $5 |
| Jul 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown | sell | 4.54 | $0.660 | $3 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown | sell | 69.44 | $0.960 | $66.66 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 69.44 | $0.360 | $25 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No | sell | 656.59 | $0.185 | $121.39 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes | sell | 902.56 | $0.222 | $200.81 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No | sell | 149.85 | $0.251 | $37.54 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 361.4 | $0.277 | $100 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 726.28 | $0.275 | $200 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.054 | $10.8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.380 | $76 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 130.04 | $0.769 | $100 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 79.12 | $0.569 | $45 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 148.88 | $0.940 | $140 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.144 | $4.32 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.709 | $35.45 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.984 | $59.04 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 499.41 | $0.998 | $498.41 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.035 | $1.05 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.035 | $1.05 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.93 | $0.636 | $3.77 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.635 | $19.04 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.750 | $60 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.400 | $24 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 140 | $0.747 | $104.64 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.77 | $0.259 | $8.23 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.760 | $75.98 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.760 | $45.59 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 93.03 | $0.752 | $70 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 18.96 | $0.750 | $14.22 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.750 | $112.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.987 | $9.87 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.797 | $7.97 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.850 | $127.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.850 | $254.97 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.620 | $18.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.65 | $0.890 | $66.44 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 407.79 | $0.981 | $400 | May 28, 2026 |
| Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.899 | $206.7 | May 27, 2026 |