Analytics
Slight-Vineyard is down $102.04K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-13 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 21K | $0.868 | $20.53K | +$2.31K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-13 13:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
28 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 04:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 04:26 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-13 13:13 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $77.16K and losing ones cost $139.19K across the latest 50 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $28.19K on “Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $46.17K on “US military action against Iran before July?” (No).
It has traded 135 markets. Its open positions are worth $72.46K across 28 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 22.28K |
| $0.300 |
| $20.17K |
| +$13.48K |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 6.94K | $0.843 | $6.65K | +$795.72 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 6.43K | $0.842 | $6.2K | +$789.89 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18.36K | $0.678 | $3.21K | -$9.24K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.39K | $0.512 | $3.1K | -$176.26 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 3K | $0.930 | $2.95K | +$160.5 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.33K | $0.750 | $1.29K | +$291.33 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.3K | $0.494 | $1.23K | +$587.14 |
 StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 1.15K | $0.783 | $1.13K | +$232.95 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.551 | $866.49 | +$314 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 759.99 | $0.613 | $736.05 | +$270.06 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 580 | $0.760 | $570.72 | +$129.92 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 599.99 | $0.390 | $548.99 | +$314.99 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.15K | $0.593 | $536.25 | -$3.7K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.9K | $0.460 | $490.48 | -$4.52K |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 510.47 | $0.902 | $488.52 | +$28.19 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6K | $0.688 | $390 | -$3.74K |
 Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 424.72 | $0.885 | $375.88 | -$0.12 |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 318.9 | $0.720 | $314.59 | +$85.05 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.5K | $0.344 | $267.75 | -$2.65K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.500 | $257.5 | +$7.5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.231 | $67.5 | -$1.09K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.300 | $38.25 | -$411.75 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4K | $0.085 | $34 | -$305.98 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
