Latest trade
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:27 AM UTC.
Analytics
Cobalt Orbit DB95 has made $298.12 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:27 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 29 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Sep 10, 2026 UTC to Oct 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | No | 427.72 | $0.584 | $409.11 | +$159.11 |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 2.73 | $0.029 | $0.08 | 6d ago |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 07:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
23 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 10:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 10:27 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 15:50 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $651.34 and losing ones cost $398 across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $100.24 on “Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary…” (Yes); the largest loss, $129.11 on “Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly…” (Yes).
It first traded on 23 Jan 2026 and most recently on 19 Oct 2026. It has traded 270 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.22K across 23 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 314.26 |
| $0.809 |
| $246.7 |
| -$7.63 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 231.41 | $0.843 | $186.28 | -$8.72 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 72.07 | $0.833 | $61.62 | +$1.61 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 73.7 | $0.814 | $55.65 | -$4.35 |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? | No | 60.8 | $0.493 | $51.98 | +$21.98 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 77.34 | $0.853 | $35.42 | -$30.58 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 32.97 | $0.910 | $29.51 | -$0.49 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.71 | $0.890 | $29.16 | -$0.84 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 22.99 | $0.870 | $22.45 | +$2.45 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 22.5 | $0.764 | $17.44 | +$0.24 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 17.35 | $0.784 | $13.27 | -$0.33 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Yes | 16.58 | $0.904 | $13 | -$2 |
 Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.900 | $9.5 | -$0.5 |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.43 | $0.530 | $6.42 | +$1.42 |
 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 6.41 | $0.780 | $6.03 | +$1.03 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5.95 | $0.840 | $4.69 | -$0.31 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 17.24 | $0.290 | $4.4 | -$0.6 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 5.97 | $0.670 | $2.72 | -$1.28 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 7.05 | $0.709 | $2.25 | -$2.75 |
 Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | Yes | 58 | $0.034 | $1.77 | -$0.23 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 5.97 | $0.670 | $0.87 | -$3.13 |
| sell |
| 6.32 |
| $0.790 |
| $4.99 |
| 6d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?No | sell | 11.63 | $0.870 | $10.12 | 6d ago |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.850 | $68 | 6d ago |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.29 | $0.840 | $36.36 | 6d ago |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.24 | $0.780 | $24.37 | 6d ago |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | 6d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | 6d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | 6d ago |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | 6d ago |
 Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.950 | $9.99 | 6d ago |
 Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?No | sell | 10.74 | $0.950 | $10.2 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.98 | $0.870 | $2.59 | 6d ago |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes | buy | 11.33 | $0.883 | $10 | 10d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes | buy | 51.25 | $0.976 | $50 | 10d ago |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.991 | $5.38 | 10d ago |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 11d ago |
 Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes | sell | 5.49 | $0.976 | $5.36 | 11d ago |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | 11d ago |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.750 | $45 | 11d ago |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes | buy | 7.05 | $0.709 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | 13d ago |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.965 | $5 | 13d ago |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | 13d ago |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?No | buy | 10.74 | $0.931 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 32.97 | $0.910 | $30 | 13d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.71 | $0.890 | $30 | 13d ago |
| Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | 15d ago |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?No | buy | 198.51 | $0.604 | $120 | 15d ago |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?No | buy | 56.79 | $0.528 | $30 | 16d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | 16d ago |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.580 | $100 | 16d ago |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.951 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | 16d ago |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | sell | 56.68 | $0.987 | $55.94 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.