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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 8.99 | $0.890 | $8.67 | +$0.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.99 | $0.890 | $8 | Apr 30, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 8.11 |
| $0.987 |
| $8.02 |
| +$0.02 |
 Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? | No | 7.08 | $0.989 | $7.06 | +$0.06 |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | No | 4.08 | $0.981 | $4.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | No | 4.09 | $0.977 | $4 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 8.11 |
| $0.987 |
| $8 |
| Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?No | buy | 7.08 | $0.989 | $7 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 1 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?No | buy | 9.14 | $0.985 | $9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No | buy | 6.47 | $0.928 | $6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?No | buy | 9.76 | $0.820 | $8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.977 | $4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No | buy | 3.36 | $0.985 | $3.31 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will there be 7-9 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will there be less than 5 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.973 | $3 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.981 | $4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.986 | $3 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by January 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by January 31?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.988 | $3 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.985 | $4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.983 | $4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsFURIA | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.949 | $6.84 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 O/U 42.5Under | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.997 | $7 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 4.31 | $0.929 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 36.84 | $0.997 | $36.74 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?No | buy | 36.74 | $0.999 | $36.7 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" this week? (September 22-28)No | buy | 36.71 | $0.990 | $36.34 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.920 | $2.09 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?No | sell | 3.15 | $0.974 | $3.07 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Is John McAfee alive?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.986 | $5.12 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Did US Refuel Israeli Aircraft in the Qatar Strike?No | sell | 7.03 | $0.995 | $7 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on September 22?No | buy | 12.65 | $0.998 | $12.62 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Fact Check: Did US Refuel Israeli Aircraft in the Qatar Strike?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.995 | $7 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| buy | 6.42 | $0.934 | $6 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?No | buy | 9.19 | $0.979 | $9 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Karpathy join one of Elon Musk's companies by August 31?No | buy | 12.08 | $0.993 | $12 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.038 | $1.9 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files in June?No | buy | 21.62 | $0.995 | $21.51 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | May 30, 2025 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the June meeting?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Apr 25, 2025 |