Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 5% on 16 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 13% on 30 Aug 2025 and the low 0.3% on 28 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.7 points up, to 10.7% on 28 Aug 2025. $161.52K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 16 Jul 2025 – 1 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2025 | 5.0% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.32K |
| WhatTheHelly | Yes | 1.49K |
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes | 1.45K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Damascus Governorate in Syria for military operations between July 15, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within Damascus Governorate will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israeli-troops-enter-damascus-by-october-31
| Yes |
| 727.11 |
| Coral Meteor BA2D | Yes | 466.53 |
| Notable-Median | Yes | 350 |
| Galar | Yes | 333.33 |
| lissartter | Yes | 228.75 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 219 |
| oi0j9uh8yg7tf6r5e4 | Yes | 200 |
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