Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 24 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 24.5% on 24 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 17% on 25 Jul 2025. $10.96K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 24 Jul 2025 – 1 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2025 | 24.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 5.14K |
| Notable-Median | Yes | 435 |
| lissartter | Yes | 207.95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrej Karpathy publicly announces that he has or intends to join a company that Elon Musk leads or holds a significant ownership stake in by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The market will resolve based on a direct public announcement by Andrej Karpathy, such as a post on his verified social media; however, in the absence of a qualifying announcement, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-andrej-karpathy-join-one-of-elon-musks-companies-by-august-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 101.55 |
| DotedCave5 | Yes | 83.33 |
| AmexAmex | Yes | 64.52 |
| HarryStuck77 | Yes | 63.17 |
| thisismeyepyep | Yes | 55.56 |
| KrabbyPatty | Yes | 50 |
| koningsbruggen | Yes | 35.71 |
