Latest trade
Dec 29, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:26 AM UTC.
Analytics
tedwilbour is down $243.82 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 22 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 29, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:26 AM UTC.
$29.15 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 12 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Sep 22, 2025 UTC to Dec 29, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.003 | $6 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-09 17:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 01:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 01:26 UTC
polymarket positions
23 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-09 17:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $301.53 and losing ones cost $164.76 across 22 settled positions. 81.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $128.84 on “Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $123.18 on “NATO article 5 in 2025?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 29 Dec 2025. It has traded 24 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.830 |
| $8.3 |
| Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 448.67 | $0.830 | $372.4 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?No | sell | 170.35 | $0.950 | $161.83 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?No | sell | 145.66 | $0.944 | $137.5 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?No | sell | 91 | $0.870 | $79.17 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?No | buy | 91 | $0.850 | $77.35 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.952 | $95.2 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.951 | $4.77 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?No | sell | 280 | $0.648 | $181.54 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.560 | $14 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | sell | 15.98 | $0.887 | $14.17 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?No | buy | 180 | $0.700 | $126 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?No | buy | 210.99 | $0.940 | $198.33 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | sell | 0.47 | $0.920 | $0.43 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | sell | 199.53 | $0.920 | $183.57 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | sell | 3.95 | $0.940 | $3.71 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | sell | 142.56 | $0.920 | $131.16 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | sell | 35.87 | $0.920 | $33 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | sell | 21.57 | $0.920 | $19.84 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.906 | $22.65 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.600 | $3.03 | Nov 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.680 | $47.6 | Nov 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 42.88 | $0.660 | $28.3 | Nov 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Yes | sell | 118.69 | $0.660 | $78.34 | Nov 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.585 | $28.08 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.570 | $13.68 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.560 | $13.44 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.550 | $32.45 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.640 | $16 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.640 | $16 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Yes | buy | 18.69 | $0.640 | $11.96 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.660 | $44.22 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.950 | $6.65 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?No | buy | 270 | $0.980 | $264.6 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.890 | $240.3 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?No | sell | 280 | $0.850 | $238 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?No | buy | 280 | $0.800 | $224 | Oct 1, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.850 | $212.5 | Sep 30, 2025 UTC |
| NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes | buy | 110.53 | $0.065 | $7.18 | Sep 23, 2025 UTC |
| NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.065 | $0.07 | Sep 23, 2025 UTC |
| NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes | buy | 233.02 | $0.065 | $15.15 | Sep 23, 2025 UTC |
| NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.065 | $0.33 | Sep 23, 2025 UTC |
| NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes | buy | 650.38 | $0.065 | $42.15 | Sep 23, 2025 UTC |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.